Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 118.395258 136.115483 156.621117 182.353044 214.135615 252.583291 3.033602e+02
2025-03-30 91.156558 112.233832 139.093660 176.687659 229.403014 303.096537 4.186470e+02
2025-04-06 78.198375 100.752858 131.437951 177.851894 249.430283 361.740110 5.659963e+02
2025-04-13 68.915318 91.829615 124.578458 177.203270 264.878097 416.708278 7.330093e+02
2025-04-20 64.026219 87.994693 123.860942 184.943095 294.847360 505.830766 1.017531e+03
2025-04-27 61.405063 86.925221 126.853126 198.909846 339.304919 640.801003 1.515389e+03
2025-05-04 56.256821 81.216853 121.454912 197.025629 352.834583 716.520452 1.934594e+03
2025-05-11 52.616311 77.416891 118.582591 199.023650 374.737495 822.893372 2.592018e+03
2025-05-18 48.689541 72.695336 113.456544 195.644991 383.779029 900.765314 3.269348e+03
2025-05-25 46.018355 69.779821 111.114796 197.341298 405.231776 1027.692203 4.460262e+03
2025-06-01 43.385497 66.661188 108.000763 196.827945 421.125219 1148.243229 5.983782e+03
2025-06-08 40.650085 63.115806 103.684083 192.966797 427.181691 1239.724178 7.669746e+03
2025-06-15 39.395106 62.281444 104.816852 202.469158 476.940669 1559.515347 1.400117e+04
2025-06-22 36.512994 58.279547 99.360201 195.857309 477.681734 1675.498881 1.936666e+04
2025-06-29 34.729386 56.132281 97.353994 197.191803 504.436143 1956.797762 3.442203e+04
2025-07-06 32.942430 53.814598 94.717269 196.446136 524.382267 2235.678940 6.334308e+04
2025-07-13 32.135213 53.277952 95.726821 205.351004 583.453036 2881.805724 2.216222e+05
2025-07-20 31.897219 53.810516 99.088758 221.467334 680.869701 4117.971954 4.736037e+06
2025-07-27 30.359486 51.634905 96.194892 219.289650 701.107514 4726.187848 3.060194e+09
2025-08-03 29.251128 50.234558 94.901935 221.598897 743.852028 5785.810723 NaN
2025-08-10 27.844435 48.122860 91.752013 217.694657 755.350720 6512.992694 NaN
2025-08-17 26.897834 46.891660 90.542899 219.654410 798.849556 8044.978700 NaN
2025-08-24 25.875771 45.431028 88.641683 219.061238 829.259154 9620.151178 NaN